Monday, July 12, 2010

July 2010 - San Diego Real Estate Market Update - July 2010

Avg time it takes for a homeowner in default to lose their home has gone from 251 days in Jan 2008 to 438 days in April 2010 – a 75% increase.

40% of all mortgages issued in 2010 are FHA (gov insured) – up from 20% in 2009, and 2% in 2005 & 2006

Because FHA loans only require a 3.5% down payment (“a subprime loan in sheep’s clothing”), 25% of 2007 & 2008 FHA loans have defaulted.

David Stevens, current FHA Commissioner, “This is a real estate market purely on life support, sustained by the federal government. Having FHA do this much volume is a sign of a very sick system.”

New Home Building Permits fell 10.9% in April & 5.9% in May, to its lowest level in over 50 years. Historically, new home building permits are the best leading indicator for the overall US economy.

New Home Sales dropped by 33% from April to May to their lowest point since WWII

As of mid June, mortgage purchase applications are down 42% since the April 30 end of tax credits (a 13 yr low).

The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator, dropped 30% in May compared to April, the worst decline in 9 years.